How to prepare your Black Friday inventory for retail success

Black Friday inventory planning is critical for boosting sales and avoiding costly mistakes. This guide shows you how to forecast demand and keep your inventory optimized for the season.

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Jonas Laursen
4 min read
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How to prepare your BF

This blog post is written for buyers and procurement specialists working in online retail. Its purpose is to help you prepare your Black Friday inventory for the intense shopping period ahead. As a buyer, you play a crucial role in making sure your webshop has the right products available to meet demand. To succeed, you need to base your Black Friday inventory decisions on accurate data and strategic planning, ensuring both customer satisfaction and healthy profit margins.

 

Analysis of past sales data

One of the most effective methods to prepare for Black Friday is to analyze past sales data. Previous years' Black Friday sales can help identify trends and demand patterns. This will give you a deep understanding of which products are trendy and have lower demand. With this insight, you can adjust your inventory and ensure that the most sought-after items are abundantly available while minimizing the risk of excess inventory on less popular items. Similarly, analyzing the period leading up to Black Friday helps gain insights into the latest market trends and tendencies. 

In this regard, it's beneficial for you to collaborate with your sales and marketing teams. They can provide market insights into consumer behavior and general market trends. Keeping an eye on various social media platforms can also be helpful to see what's trending among your target audience, especially on platforms like TikTok, Pinterest, Instagram, and Facebook. For example, there might be a particular brand or product in high demand, and this information would be valuable for you to know so that you can order the right quantities.

Forecasting Black Friday inventory needs

When planning your Black Friday inventory, it’s not enough to know which products sold well in the past;  you also need to align your stock levels with your marketing efforts. If you are investing your marketing budget into promoting specific products, those items must be the ones you never run out of. Nothing undermines a campaign faster than sending traffic to products that are already sold out.

→ Related article: Use basket openers to increase conversion and protect your margins

By forecasting demand on promoted products and setting minimum stock thresholds, you ensure your marketing spend drives actual sales rather than customer frustration. At the same time, you can allocate tighter stock limits to products that are not campaign priorities, reducing the risk of excess inventory after Black Friday.

 

Price strategy campaign

 

Development of a pricing strategy

Pricing is a crucial factor for success on Black Friday. Consumers expect attractive deals and competitive prices, so developing a pricing strategy that attracts customers while ensuring a healthy profit is important. A practical approach is to analyze competitors' pricing and previous Black Friday offers. By doing this, in collaboration with your e-commerce team, you can strategically position your webshop by providing competitive prices that maintain a good profit margin. Also, consider dynamic pricing that can be adjusted in real-time to respond to changes in demand and the competitive landscape during Black Friday.

You can analyze which items should attract visitors to your webshop. You might need to be exceptionally competitive on those products. You can use your data history to estimate the market, find the lowest prices, plan a campaign accordingly, and even include the product in your following newsletter.

At the same time, it makes sense to determine which items should increase your average profit margin and cart value, where you don't necessarily have to match the lowest price on the market.

You can go so far as to automate pricing adjustments based on how well a product is selling. If sales exceed expectations and you only have a few days' worth of inventory left, raising the price might be a good idea to increase your profit.

 

Close collaboration with suppliers

Close collaboration with your suppliers is essential for a successful Black Friday. Start the dialogue well in advance so you can discuss your sales volume expectations and delivery timelines. Communicating clearly with your suppliers can avoid delays and ensure they have enough inventory for the busy period.

Also, a good relationship with your supplier will ensure you receive all the information you need to be best prepared. For example, the supplier might introduce a new product with potential demand among your target audience. Knowing this in advance, you can set up pre-orders and ensure this product is in stock.

You might have a planned meeting with one of your suppliers. You can consider compiling a list of all products, current sales, and market prices. This way, you can analyze how much of your assortment is more expensive than the market. By combining this with your profit margin, you can start calculating how much discount you need to negotiate to compete with the market.

Before placing a larger order, checking the item numbers you're about to order is also a good idea. You should reconsider if the difference between the suggested retail price and the cheapest competitor's price is larger than the percentage tolerance you set.

Coordinating campaign products with suppliers

When planning your Black Friday inventory, it’s important to discuss potential campaigns with your suppliers. If certain products are part of your promotional strategy, aligning with suppliers in advance ensures you have the stock levels to support those campaigns. This coordination also gives you leverage to negotiate better terms, such as volume discounts or flexible delivery schedules.

→ Related article: How to build a campaign pricing strategy

By involving suppliers early in your campaign planning, you reduce the risk of running out of promoted products and make sure your Black Friday offers are both competitive and profitable.

 

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Purchase the right products

Black Friday campaigns fail when ads push products that don’t convert or hurt your margins. PriceShape helps you cut waste by focusing on the products that sell profitably and strengthen your purchasing decisions.

Purchase the right products



How can PriceShape help with Black Friday inventory?

It's a good idea to use tools like PriceShape to facilitate your preparation and streamline your purchasing decisions. We are a price optimization tool that integrates inventory and market data to provide valuable insights and competitive analyses.

By leveraging PriceShape, you can easily monitor your competitors' pricing, identify price-sensitive products, and adjust your prices to attract more customers. This data can also help you initiate productive discussions with your suppliers. For instance, data about your competitors' pricing might help you in negotiation discussions, improving your bargaining position.

Dynamic pricing and reporting in PriceShape allow you to track real-time price changes and respond to competitive conditions and demand shifts. This ensures you gain the insights needed to optimize your Black Friday strategy and stay competitive in a crowded market. Read more about how PriceShapes' retail pricing tool can help your business.

 

Jonas Laursen__Customer Success